Disaster Triage Forecaster
Life-Expectancy Forecast for Disaster Theatres
In mass casualty and disaster response scenarios, limited rescue resources must be directed toward highest-survival-probability locations first. The DATF engine (M225) computes a deterministic life-expectancy forecast per detected survivor location based on injury severity indicators, environmental exposure, and elapsed time since incident — providing structured prioritisation data to incident commanders without making clinical diagnoses.
Capability specification
- 01
Deterministic life-expectancy forecast per detected location based on observable indicators
- 02
Elapsed-time decay model: forecast degrades with time since incident onset
- 03
Environmental exposure integration: temperature, precipitation, shelter proximity
- 04
Structured output for incident commander consumption — not clinical diagnosis
- 05
53-test green suite covering forecast boundary conditions, decay math, and output structure
How it works
Location Detection
Thermal and visual sensors on the drone identify potential survivor locations. Each detected location is submitted with observable indicator readings — thermal signature strength, movement indicator, shelter proximity.
Forecast Computation
The engine applies a deterministic decay model: base life-expectancy estimate modulated by elapsed time, environmental exposure factor, and injury severity indicator. All computation is transparent and reproducible from the submitted inputs.
Prioritised Output
Forecast records are ranked and written to the chain-hashed ledger, providing incident commanders with a prioritised resource allocation list. The output explicitly identifies itself as a triage forecast, not a clinical assessment.
Standards we follow
- STD-01
ICAO Annex 11 — Air Traffic Services (emergency airspace alignment for disaster response UAS)
- STD-02
NIST FIPS 180-4 — Secure Hash Standard (chain hash)
Areas served
This capability is deployed across 14 operational regions. Regulatory alignment details vary by jurisdiction — consult engineering for jurisdiction-specific deployment guidance.
Frequently asked questions
Does the platform make medical decisions based on the forecast?
No. The DATF engine produces a structured prioritisation forecast for incident commanders. It does not issue clinical diagnoses, medical treatment recommendations, or triage classifications in the medical sense. Clinical decisions remain with qualified medical personnel. The platform labels its output explicitly as a resource-allocation forecast to prevent misuse.
Talk to engineering
For capability evaluation, integration guidance, and deployment scoping, submit a brief to the engineering team.
Submit engineering brief